CobiaCincinnati Reds vs Chicago White Sox — Prediction & Pitchers
Wed, Aug 12, 7:40 PM ET · Rate Field
Cincinnati Reds
57-61
VS7:40 PM ET
Chicago White Sox
61-57
CWS 57% on the money line.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
CIN
Rhett Lowder
5.26 ERA · sharp · 1.9 R/5 allowed
CWS
Luis Castillo
5.30 ERA · struggling · 3.2 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
CIN to win48%mkt 43%
CWS to win52%mkt 57%
Total (model)9 Rline 8.5
Biggest edge: CIN ML — model 48% vs market 43% (+500pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Munetaka Murakami CWS — 23.6% to go yard (26 HR)
- Sal Stewart CIN — 22.4% to go yard (25 HR)
- Elly De La Cruz CIN — 21.8% to go yard (20 HR)
- Eugenio Suárez CIN — 20.4% to go yard (17 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Rate Field · park factor 97 (#23) · Partly cloudy, 74°F, wind 4 mph — Fair — no weather edge
🔥 Hot Bats
CIN Elly De La Cruz .271 AVG · 25 HR · .847 OPS
CWS Miguel Vargas .274 AVG · 26 HR · .814 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
CIN
- Hunter Greene 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Spencer Steer 10-Day-IL Sprain
- Brandon Williamson 60-Day-IL Soreness
- Blake Dunn 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Tony Santillan 15-Day-IL Strain
CWS
- Chase Meidroth Day-To-Day Soreness
- Drew Thorpe 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Joey Bart 10-Day-IL Fracture
- Chris Murphy 15-Day-IL Strain
- Jordan Leasure 60-Day-IL Strain
📈 Recent Form
CIN 2-3 last 5 · W1
WLLLW
CWS 2-3 last 5 · L2
LLWWL
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: CWS 52% to win, best value on CIN ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago White Sox?
Rhett Lowder (5.26 ERA) starts for CIN; Luis Castillo (5.30 ERA) starts for CWS.
What is the prediction for Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago White Sox?
Our model favors CWS at 52% to win, with a projected 9 total runs.