CobiaCincinnati Reds vs Chicago White Sox — Prediction & Pitchers
Tue, Aug 11, 7:40 PM ET · Rate Field
Cincinnati Reds
56-61
VS7:40 PM ET
Chicago White Sox
61-56
CWS 59% on the money line; model leans UNDER 8.5.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
CIN
Nick Lodolo
4.60 ERA · sharp · 1.4 R/5 allowed
CWS
Sean Burke
3.08 ERA · sharp · 1.5 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
CIN to win36%mkt 42%
CWS to win64%mkt 59%
Total (model)7.3 Rline 8.5
Biggest edge: CWS ML — model 64% vs market 59% (+590pts).
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Rate Field · park factor 97 (#23) · Mist, 73°F, wind 4 mph — Fair — no weather edge
🔥 Hot Bats
CIN Elly De La Cruz .271 AVG · 25 HR · .852 OPS
CWS Miguel Vargas .274 AVG · 26 HR · .810 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
CIN
- Spencer Steer 10-Day-IL Sprain
- Brandon Williamson 60-Day-IL Soreness
- Hunter Greene 15-Day-IL Surgery
- Blake Dunn 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Nick Lodolo 15-Day-IL Abrasion
CWS
- Chase Meidroth Day-To-Day Soreness
- Drew Thorpe 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Joey Bart 10-Day-IL Fracture
- Chris Murphy 15-Day-IL Strain
- Jordan Leasure 60-Day-IL Strain
📈 Recent Form
CIN 2-3 last 5 · W2
WWLLL
CWS 2-3 last 5 · L3
LLLWW
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: CWS 64% to win, best value on CWS ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago White Sox?
Nick Lodolo (4.60 ERA) starts for CIN; Sean Burke (3.08 ERA) starts for CWS.
What is the prediction for Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago White Sox?
Our model favors CWS at 64% to win, with a projected 7.3 total runs.