CobiaChicago Cubs vs Washington Nationals — Prediction & Pitchers
Thu, Aug 13, 4:05 PM ET · Nationals Park
Chicago Cubs
71-50
VS4:05 PM ET
Washington Nationals
59-63
CHC 56% on the money line; model leans OVER 8.5.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
CHC
Kevin Gausman
4.29 ERA · sharp · 1.8 R/5 allowed
WSH
Cade Cavalli
3.57 ERA · steady · 2.0 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
CHC to win54%mkt 56%
WSH to win46%mkt 44%
Total (model)9.8 Rline 8.5
Biggest edge: WSH ML — model 46% vs market 44% (+270pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Pete Crow-Armstrong CHC — 17% to go yard (27 HR)
- CJ Abrams WSH — 17% to go yard (29 HR)
- Andrés Chaparro WSH — 16.3% to go yard (6 HR)
- Michael Conforto CHC — 15.4% to go yard (9 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Nationals Park · park factor 100 (#15) · Clear , 75°F, wind 4 mph — Fair — no weather edge
🔥 Hot Bats
CHC Pete Crow-Armstrong .284 AVG · 27 HR · .928 OPS
WSH James Wood .284 AVG · 30 HR · .928 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
CHC
- Phil Maton 15-Day-IL Sprain
- Edward Cabrera 15-Day-IL Strain
- Shelby Miller 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Riley Martin 60-Day-IL Strain
- Matt Shaw 10-Day-IL Sprain
WSH
- James Wood 10-Day-IL Strain
- Richard Lovelady 60-Day-IL Strain
- Josiah Gray 60-Day-IL Strain
- Connelly Early 15-Day-IL Inflammation
- DJ Herz 60-Day-IL Strain
📈 Recent Form
CHC 4-1 last 5 · W1
WLWWW
WSH 3-2 last 5 · W3
WWWLL
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: CHC 54% to win, best value on WSH ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Chicago Cubs vs Washington Nationals?
Kevin Gausman (4.29 ERA) starts for CHC; Cade Cavalli (3.57 ERA) starts for WSH.
What is the prediction for Chicago Cubs vs Washington Nationals?
Our model favors CHC at 54% to win, with a projected 9.8 total runs.