CobiaChicago Cubs vs Seattle Mariners — Prediction & Pitchers
Sun, Aug 23, 4:10 PM ET · T-Mobile Park
Chicago Cubs
74-56
VS4:10 PM ET
Seattle Mariners
62-68
CHC 52% on the money line; model leans OVER 7.5.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
CHC
Shota Imanaga
3.77 ERA · steady · 2.3 R/5 allowed
SEA
Bryce Miller
3.71 ERA · struggling · 3.5 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
CHC to win70%mkt 52%
SEA to win30%mkt 49%
Total (model)8.4 Rline 7.5
Biggest edge: CHC ML — model 70% vs market 52% (+1830pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Dominic Canzone SEA — 17.4% to go yard (19 HR)
- Pete Crow-Armstrong CHC — 16.5% to go yard (32 HR)
- Cal Raleigh SEA — 16.4% to go yard (14 HR)
- Julio Rodríguez SEA — 14.5% to go yard (19 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
T-Mobile Park · park factor 95 (#29) · Patchy rain nearby, 65°F, wind 7 mph — Rain risk — could delay; wet ball
🔥 Hot Bats
CHC Pete Crow-Armstrong .279 AVG · 32 HR · .931 OPS
SEA Randy Arozarena .275 AVG · 19 HR · .832 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
CHC
- Phil Maton 60-Day-IL Sprain
- Gavin Hollowell 15-Day-IL Inflammation
- Ben Brown 60-Day-IL Fracture
- Riley Martin 60-Day-IL Strain
- Hunter Harvey 60-Day-IL Fracture
SEA
- Brendan Donovan Day-To-Day Head
- Bryan Woo Day-To-Day Shoulder
- Matt Brash 60-Day-IL Strain
- Luke Raley 60-Day-IL Strain
- J.P. Crawford 10-Day-IL Inflammation
📈 Recent Form
CHC 2-3 last 5 · W2
WWLLL
SEA 3-2 last 5 · L1
LWLWW
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: CHC 70% to win, best value on CHC ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Chicago Cubs vs Seattle Mariners?
Shota Imanaga (3.77 ERA) starts for CHC; Bryce Miller (3.71 ERA) starts for SEA.
What is the prediction for Chicago Cubs vs Seattle Mariners?
Our model favors CHC at 70% to win, with a projected 8.4 total runs.