CobiaChicago Cubs vs Seattle Mariners — Prediction & Pitchers
Fri, Aug 21, 10:10 PM ET · T-Mobile Park
Chicago Cubs
74-54
VS10:10 PM ET
Seattle Mariners
60-68
CHC 51% on the money line.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
CHC
Matthew Boyd
4.02 ERA · struggling · 2.9 R/5 allowed
SEA
Emerson Hancock
3.30 ERA · steady · 2.0 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
CHC to win57%mkt 51%
SEA to win43%mkt 50%
Total (model)7.9 Rline 7.5
Biggest edge: CHC ML — model 57% vs market 51% (+650pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Dominic Canzone SEA — 14.2% to go yard (19 HR)
- Pete Crow-Armstrong CHC — 13.2% to go yard (31 HR)
- Cal Raleigh SEA — 13.1% to go yard (13 HR)
- Seiya Suzuki CHC — 12.9% to go yard (22 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
T-Mobile Park · park factor 95 (#29) · Clear , 68°F, wind 4 mph — Fair — no weather edge
🔥 Hot Bats
CHC Pete Crow-Armstrong .279 AVG · 31 HR · .928 OPS
SEA Randy Arozarena .272 AVG · 19 HR · .815 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
CHC
- Phil Maton 60-Day-IL Sprain
- Gavin Hollowell 15-Day-IL Inflammation
- Ben Brown 60-Day-IL Fracture
- Daniel Palencia 60-Day-IL Strain
- Riley Martin 60-Day-IL Strain
SEA
- Bryan Woo Day-To-Day Shoulder
- Luke Raley 60-Day-IL Strain
- J.P. Crawford 10-Day-IL Inflammation
- Matt Brash 15-Day-IL Strain
- Colt Emerson 10-Day-IL Inflammation
📈 Recent Form
CHC 2-3 last 5 · L2
LLWWL
SEA 3-2 last 5 · W2
WWLWL
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: CHC 57% to win, best value on CHC ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Chicago Cubs vs Seattle Mariners?
Matthew Boyd (4.02 ERA) starts for CHC; Emerson Hancock (3.30 ERA) starts for SEA.
What is the prediction for Chicago Cubs vs Seattle Mariners?
Our model favors CHC at 57% to win, with a projected 7.9 total runs.