CobiaBoston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays — Prediction & Pitchers
Thu, Aug 13, 3:07 PM ET · Rogers Centre
Boston Red Sox
64-56
VS3:07 PM ET
Toronto Blue Jays
59-63
BOS 61% on the money line.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
BOS
Payton Tolle
3.20 ERA · sharp · 1.7 R/5 allowed
TOR
Max Scherzer
7.25 ERA · sharp · 1.7 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
BOS to win72%mkt 61%
TOR to win28%mkt 40%
Total (model)7.7 Rline 7.5
Biggest edge: BOS ML — model 72% vs market 61% (+1100pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Willson Contreras BOS — 31.6% to go yard (24 HR)
- Wilyer Abreu BOS — 27.6% to go yard (21 HR)
- Jarren Duran BOS — 22.4% to go yard (16 HR)
- Andruw Monasterio BOS — 18.9% to go yard (6 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Rogers Centre · park factor 101 (#10) · Clear , 66°F, wind 7 mph · roof closed — Roof park — weather neutral
🔥 Hot Bats
BOS Willson Contreras .286 AVG · 24 HR · .919 OPS
TOR Kazuma Okamoto .282 AVG · 24 HR · .736 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
BOS
- Garrett Whitlock Day-To-Day Inflammation
- Roman Anthony 60-Day-IL Sprain
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa 60-Day-IL Inflammation
- Triston Casas 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Trevor Story 60-Day-IL Surgery
TOR
- Jake Bloss 60-Day-IL Strain
- Lenyn Sosa 60-Day-IL Bruise
- Trey Yesavage 15-Day-IL Surgery
- Jameson Taillon 15-Day-IL Tendinitis
- Luis Urias 10-Day-IL Strain
📈 Recent Form
BOS 0-5 last 5 · L5
LLLLL
TOR 4-1 last 5 · W1
WLWWW
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: BOS 72% to win, best value on BOS ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays?
Payton Tolle (3.20 ERA) starts for BOS; Max Scherzer (7.25 ERA) starts for TOR.
What is the prediction for Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays?
Our model favors BOS at 72% to win, with a projected 7.7 total runs.