CobiaBoston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays — Prediction & Pitchers
Wed, Aug 12, 7:07 PM ET · Rogers Centre
Boston Red Sox
64-55
VS7:07 PM ET
Toronto Blue Jays
58-63
BOS 55% on the money line; model leans UNDER 7.5.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
BOS
Ranger Suarez
3.32 ERA · steady · 2.3 R/5 allowed
TOR
José Soriano
3.24 ERA · sharp · 1.3 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
BOS to win52%mkt 55%
TOR to win48%mkt 46%
Total (model)6.8 Rline 7.5
Biggest edge: TOR ML — model 48% vs market 46% (+300pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Willson Contreras BOS — 15.7% to go yard (23 HR)
- Wilyer Abreu BOS — 14.1% to go yard (21 HR)
- Kazuma Okamoto TOR — 13.5% to go yard (24 HR)
- Jarren Duran BOS — 12.5% to go yard (16 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Rogers Centre · park factor 101 (#10) · Clear, 69°F, wind 4 mph · roof closed — Roof park — weather neutral
🔥 Hot Bats
BOS Willson Contreras .287 AVG · 23 HR · .912 OPS
TOR Kazuma Okamoto .281 AVG · 24 HR · .728 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
BOS
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa 60-Day-IL Inflammation
- Triston Casas 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Trevor Story 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Roman Anthony 60-Day-IL Sprain
- Garrett Crochet 60-Day-IL Strain
TOR
- Kazuma Okamoto Day-To-Day Moderate
- Trey Yesavage 15-Day-IL Surgery
- Jameson Taillon 15-Day-IL Tendinitis
- Luis Urias 10-Day-IL Strain
- Spencer Arrighetti 15-Day-IL Soreness
📈 Recent Form
BOS 1-4 last 5 · W1
WLLLL
TOR 4-1 last 5 · W2
WWLWW
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: BOS 52% to win, best value on TOR ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays?
Ranger Suarez (3.32 ERA) starts for BOS; José Soriano (3.24 ERA) starts for TOR.
What is the prediction for Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays?
Our model favors BOS at 52% to win, with a projected 6.8 total runs.