CobiaBoston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays — Prediction & Pitchers
Tue, Aug 11, 7:07 PM ET · Rogers Centre
Boston Red Sox
64-54
VS7:07 PM ET
Toronto Blue Jays
57-63
TOR 57% on the money line; model leans UNDER 7.5.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
BOS
Patrick Sandoval
3.38 ERA · sharp · 1.7 R/5 allowed
TOR
Dylan Cease
2.28 ERA · sharp · 0.8 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
BOS to win46%mkt 43%
TOR to win54%mkt 57%
Total (model)6.1 Rline 7.5
Biggest edge: BOS ML — model 46% vs market 43% (+350pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Willson Contreras BOS — 32.3% to go yard (23 HR)
- Wilyer Abreu BOS — 28.1% to go yard (20 HR)
- Jarren Duran BOS — 23.3% to go yard (16 HR)
- Andruw Monasterio BOS — 19.6% to go yard (6 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Rogers Centre · park factor 101 (#10) · Clear , 68°F, wind 5 mph · roof closed — Roof park — weather neutral
🔥 Hot Bats
BOS Willson Contreras .287 AVG · 23 HR · .921 OPS
TOR Kazuma Okamoto .284 AVG · 24 HR · .728 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
BOS
- Adley Rutschman 10-Day-IL Inflammation
- Triston Casas 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Trevor Story 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Roman Anthony 60-Day-IL Sprain
- Garrett Crochet 60-Day-IL Strain
TOR
- Jameson Taillon Day-To-Day Not Specified
- Luis Urias 10-Day-IL Strain
- Spencer Arrighetti 15-Day-IL Soreness
- Kazuma Okamoto Day-To-Day Bruise
- Yimi Garcia 60-Day-IL Surgery
📈 Recent Form
BOS 2-3 last 5 · W2
WWLLL
TOR 3-2 last 5 · L1
LWWLW
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: TOR 54% to win, best value on BOS ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays?
Patrick Sandoval (3.38 ERA) starts for BOS; Dylan Cease (2.28 ERA) starts for TOR.
What is the prediction for Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays?
Our model favors TOR at 54% to win, with a projected 6.1 total runs.