CobiaBoston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays — Prediction & Pitchers
Mon, Aug 10, 7:07 PM ET · Rogers Centre · Final
Boston Red Sox
64-54
1
VS
Toronto Blue Jays
57-63
2
FINAL · BOS 1–2 TOR
⚾ Starting Pitchers
BOS
Sonny Gray
2.79 ERA · sharp · 1.7 R/5 allowed
TOR
Jameson Taillon
5.68 ERA · struggling · 3.2 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
BOS to win77%mkt 0%
TOR to win23%mkt 100%
Total (model)7.9 Rline 8.5
Biggest edge: BOS ML — model 77% vs market 0% (+7650pts).
🕵️ Smart-money lean: Toronto Blue Jays — 8 sharps, 7 elite, 53% one-sided (conv 67)
💣 Home Run Watch
- Kazuma Okamoto TOR — 19.1% to go yard (24 HR)
- Jesús Sánchez TOR — 14% to go yard (8 HR)
- Brandon Valenzuela TOR — 13.8% to go yard (8 HR)
- Willson Contreras BOS — 13.6% to go yard (23 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Rogers Centre · park factor 101 (#10) · Clear , 67°F, wind 6 mph · roof closed — Roof park — weather neutral
🔥 Hot Bats
BOS Willson Contreras .287 AVG · 23 HR · .921 OPS
TOR Kazuma Okamoto .284 AVG · 24 HR · .728 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
BOS
- Adley Rutschman 10-Day-IL Inflammation
- Triston Casas 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Trevor Story 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Roman Anthony 60-Day-IL Sprain
- Garrett Crochet 60-Day-IL Strain
TOR
- Jameson Taillon Day-To-Day Not Specified
- Luis Urias 10-Day-IL Strain
- Spencer Arrighetti 15-Day-IL Soreness
- Kazuma Okamoto Day-To-Day Bruise
- Yimi Garcia 60-Day-IL Surgery
📈 Recent Form
BOS 2-3 last 5 · W2
WWLLL
TOR 3-2 last 5 · L1
LWWLW
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: BOS 77% to win, best value on BOS ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays?
Sonny Gray (2.79 ERA) starts for BOS; Jameson Taillon (5.68 ERA) starts for TOR.
What is the prediction for Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays?
Our model favors BOS at 77% to win, with a projected 7.9 total runs.