CobiaBoston Red Sox vs Texas Rangers — Prediction & Pitchers
Thu, Sep 17, 8:05 PM ET · Globe Life Field
Boston Red Sox
82-70
VS8:05 PM ET
Texas Rangers
76-76
BOS 57% on the money line; model leans UNDER 8.5.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
BOS
Sonny Gray
2.76 ERA · sharp · 1.6 R/5 allowed
TEX
Tyler Alexander
3.38 ERA · steady · 2.3 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
BOS to win65%mkt 57%
TEX to win35%mkt 43%
Total (model)7.3 Rline 8.5
Biggest edge: BOS ML — model 65% vs market 57% (+800pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Jake Burger TEX — 13% to go yard (26 HR)
- Justin Foscue TEX — 12.9% to go yard (11 HR)
- Joc Pederson TEX — 12.8% to go yard (26 HR)
- Corey Seager TEX — 12.8% to go yard (18 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Globe Life Field · park factor 103 (#7) · Overcast , 87°F, wind 7 mph · roof closed — Roof park — weather neutral
🔥 Hot Bats
BOS Willson Contreras .282 AVG · 27 HR · .905 OPS
TEX Ezequiel Duran .270 AVG · 26 HR · .770 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
BOS
- Tyron Guerrero 15-Day-IL Inflammation
- Garrett Crochet 60-Day-IL Strain
- Tanner Houck 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Justin Slaten 15-Day-IL Inflammation
- Curtis Mead 10-Day-IL Fracture
TEX
- MacKenzie Gore Day-To-Day Spasms
- Michael Helman 60-Day-IL Fracture
- Joc Pederson Day-To-Day Fracture
- Cal Quantrill Day-To-Day Back
- Jack Leiter 60-Day-IL Surgery
📈 Recent Form
BOS 2-3 last 5 · L1
LWWLL
TEX 4-1 last 5 · L1
LWWWW
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: BOS 65% to win, best value on BOS ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Boston Red Sox vs Texas Rangers?
Sonny Gray (2.76 ERA) starts for BOS; Tyler Alexander (3.38 ERA) starts for TEX.
What is the prediction for Boston Red Sox vs Texas Rangers?
Our model favors BOS at 65% to win, with a projected 7.3 total runs.