CobiaBoston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays — Prediction & Pitchers
Fri, Sep 18, 7:10 PM ET · Steinbrenner Field
Boston Red Sox
83-70
VS7:10 PM ET
Tampa Bay Rays
93-59
TB 54% on the money line; model leans OVER 7.5.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
BOS
Ranger Suarez
3.33 ERA · steady · 1.9 R/5 allowed
TB
Ian Seymour
4.27 ERA · steady · 2.4 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
BOS to win55%mkt 47%
TB to win45%mkt 54%
Total (model)7.7 Rline 7.5
Biggest edge: BOS ML — model 55% vs market 47% (+880pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Willson Contreras BOS — 17.5% to go yard (27 HR)
- Wilyer Abreu BOS — 16.2% to go yard (24 HR)
- Mickey Gasper BOS — 15.3% to go yard (9 HR)
- Jarren Duran BOS — 13.9% to go yard (20 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Steinbrenner Field · park factor 98 (#22) · Sunny, 76°F, wind 9 mph — Fair — no weather edge
🔥 Hot Bats
BOS Willson Contreras .282 AVG · 27 HR · .905 OPS
TB Junior Caminero .311 AVG · 41 HR · .895 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
BOS
- Aroldis Chapman Day-To-Day Lat
- Willson Contreras Day-To-Day Hand
- Ceddanne Rafaela 10-Day-IL Soreness
- Tyron Guerrero 15-Day-IL Inflammation
- Garrett Crochet 60-Day-IL Strain
TB
- Ben Williamson 10-Day-IL Strain
- Tyler Wells 15-Day-IL Soreness
- Garrett Cleavinger 15-Day-IL Soreness
- Shane McClanahan 15-Day-IL Soreness
- Manuel Rodriguez 15-Day-IL Strain
📈 Recent Form
BOS 3-2 last 5 · W2
WWLLW
TB 5-0 last 5 · W5
WWWWW
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: BOS 55% to win, best value on BOS ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays?
Ranger Suarez (3.33 ERA) starts for BOS; Ian Seymour (4.27 ERA) starts for TB.
What is the prediction for Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays?
Our model favors BOS at 55% to win, with a projected 7.7 total runs.