CobiaBoston Red Sox vs Pittsburgh Pirates — Prediction & Pitchers
Sun, Aug 16, 1:35 PM ET · PNC Park
Boston Red Sox
66-57
VS1:35 PM ET
Pittsburgh Pirates
60-65
BOS 53% on the money line.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
BOS
Patrick Sandoval
3.30 ERA · steady · 1.9 R/5 allowed
PIT
Lake Bachar
3.97 ERA · struggling · 2.4 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
BOS to win55%mkt 53%
PIT to win45%mkt 48%
Total (model)8.5 Rline 8.5
Biggest edge: BOS ML — model 55% vs market 53% (+220pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Willson Contreras BOS — 17.4% to go yard (24 HR)
- Wilyer Abreu BOS — 15.9% to go yard (22 HR)
- Esmerlyn Valdez PIT — 15.7% to go yard (14 HR)
- Jarren Duran BOS — 13.2% to go yard (16 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
PNC Park · park factor 99 (#18) · Light rain shower, 70°F, wind 3 mph — Rain risk — could delay; wet ball
🔥 Hot Bats
BOS Willson Contreras .287 AVG · 24 HR · .912 OPS
PIT Bryan Reynolds .307 AVG · 26 HR · .803 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
BOS
- Masataka Yoshida Day-To-Day Strain
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa 60-Day-IL Inflammation
- Roman Anthony 60-Day-IL Sprain
- Trevor Story 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Garrett Whitlock 15-Day-IL Inflammation
PIT
- Yohan Ramirez Paternity Personal
- Oneil Cruz 60-Day-IL Fracture
- Endy Rodriguez 10-Day-IL Inflammation
- Konnor Griffin 60-Day-IL Strain
- Mitch Keller 60-Day-IL Not Specified
📈 Recent Form
BOS 2-3 last 5 · L2
LLWLW
PIT 2-3 last 5 · L2
LLWWL
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: BOS 55% to win, best value on BOS ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Boston Red Sox vs Pittsburgh Pirates?
Patrick Sandoval (3.30 ERA) starts for BOS; Lake Bachar (3.97 ERA) starts for PIT.
What is the prediction for Boston Red Sox vs Pittsburgh Pirates?
Our model favors BOS at 55% to win, with a projected 8.5 total runs.