CobiaBoston Red Sox vs Pittsburgh Pirates — Prediction & Pitchers
Sat, Aug 15, 7:15 PM ET · PNC Park
Boston Red Sox
65-57
VS7:15 PM ET
Pittsburgh Pirates
60-64
BOS 53% on the money line; model leans OVER 7.5.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
BOS
Sonny Gray
2.79 ERA · sharp · 1.7 R/5 allowed
PIT
Jared Jones
5.03 ERA · struggling · 3.9 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
BOS to win69%mkt 53%
PIT to win31%mkt 48%
Total (model)8.9 Rline 7.5
Biggest edge: BOS ML — model 69% vs market 53% (+1630pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Willson Contreras BOS — 17.2% to go yard (24 HR)
- Wilyer Abreu BOS — 15% to go yard (21 HR)
- Esmerlyn Valdez PIT — 14.9% to go yard (14 HR)
- Jarren Duran BOS — 13.1% to go yard (16 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
PNC Park · park factor 99 (#18) · Clear , 69°F, wind 2 mph — Fair — no weather edge
🔥 Hot Bats
BOS Willson Contreras .288 AVG · 24 HR · .917 OPS
PIT Bryan Reynolds .307 AVG · 26 HR · .810 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
BOS
- Garrett Whitlock 15-Day-IL Inflammation
- Roman Anthony 60-Day-IL Sprain
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa 60-Day-IL Inflammation
- Triston Casas 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Trevor Story 60-Day-IL Surgery
PIT
- Nick Gonzales Day-To-Day Bruise
- Yohan Ramirez Paternity Personal
- Oneil Cruz 60-Day-IL Fracture
- Endy Rodriguez 10-Day-IL Inflammation
- Konnor Griffin 60-Day-IL Strain
📈 Recent Form
BOS 1-4 last 5 · L3
LLLWL
PIT 2-3 last 5 · L3
LLLWW
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: BOS 69% to win, best value on BOS ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Boston Red Sox vs Pittsburgh Pirates?
Sonny Gray (2.79 ERA) starts for BOS; Jared Jones (5.03 ERA) starts for PIT.
What is the prediction for Boston Red Sox vs Pittsburgh Pirates?
Our model favors BOS at 69% to win, with a projected 8.9 total runs.