CobiaBoston Red Sox vs Pittsburgh Pirates — Prediction & Pitchers
Fri, Aug 14, 6:40 PM ET · PNC Park
Boston Red Sox
65-56
VS6:40 PM ET
Pittsburgh Pirates
59-64
BOS 56% on the money line; model leans OVER 7.5.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
BOS
Jake Bennett
3.17 ERA · struggling · 2.5 R/5 allowed
PIT
Bubba Chandler
4.26 ERA · sharp · 1.8 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
BOS to win47%mkt 56%
PIT to win53%mkt 44%
Total (model)8.3 Rline 7.5
Biggest edge: PIT ML — model 53% vs market 44% (+940pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Esmerlyn Valdez PIT — 13% to go yard (14 HR)
- Willson Contreras BOS — 12.9% to go yard (24 HR)
- Wilyer Abreu BOS — 12.4% to go yard (21 HR)
- Brandon Lowe PIT — 11.9% to go yard (25 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
PNC Park · park factor 99 (#18) · Clear , 71°F, wind 3 mph — Fair — no weather edge
🔥 Hot Bats
BOS Willson Contreras .288 AVG · 24 HR · .918 OPS
PIT Bryan Reynolds .309 AVG · 25 HR · .806 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
BOS
- Garrett Whitlock 15-Day-IL Inflammation
- Roman Anthony 60-Day-IL Sprain
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa 60-Day-IL Inflammation
- Triston Casas 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Trevor Story 60-Day-IL Surgery
PIT
- Endy Rodriguez 10-Day-IL Inflammation
- Konnor Griffin 60-Day-IL Strain
- Oneil Cruz 60-Day-IL Fracture
- Mitch Keller 60-Day-IL Not Specified
- Ryan O'Hearn 10-Day-IL Strain
📈 Recent Form
BOS 1-4 last 5 · L4
LLLLW
PIT 2-3 last 5 · W1
WLLLW
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: PIT 53% to win, best value on PIT ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Boston Red Sox vs Pittsburgh Pirates?
Jake Bennett (3.17 ERA) starts for BOS; Bubba Chandler (4.26 ERA) starts for PIT.
What is the prediction for Boston Red Sox vs Pittsburgh Pirates?
Our model favors PIT at 53% to win, with a projected 8.3 total runs.