CobiaBaltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays — Prediction & Pitchers
Mon, Aug 17, 6:05 PM ET · Steinbrenner Field
Baltimore Orioles
61-63
VS6:05 PM ET
Tampa Bay Rays
74-49
TB 60% on the money line; model leans OVER 7.5.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
BAL
Brandon Young
3.33 ERA · steady · 2.3 R/5 allowed
TB
Shane McClanahan
3.09 ERA · struggling · 2.4 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
BAL to win47%mkt 41%
TB to win53%mkt 60%
Total (model)8.1 Rline 7.5
Biggest edge: BAL ML — model 47% vs market 41% (+620pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Junior Caminero TB — 14.5% to go yard (35 HR)
- Victor Mesa Jr. TB — 13% to go yard (10 HR)
- Christian Encarnacion-Strand BAL — 12.7% to go yard (5 HR)
- Pete Alonso BAL — 12.5% to go yard (27 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Steinbrenner Field · park factor 98 (#22) · Patchy rain nearby, 60°F, wind 28 mph — Rain risk — could delay; wet ball
🔥 Hot Bats
BAL Pete Alonso .266 AVG · 27 HR · .851 OPS
TB Junior Caminero .309 AVG · 35 HR · .905 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
BAL
- Felix Bautista 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Samuel Basallo 10-Day-IL Inflammation
- Blaze Alexander 10-Day-IL Fracture
- Ryan Helsley 60-Day-IL Inflammation
- Colin Selby 60-Day-IL Surgery
TB
- Manuel Rodriguez 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Shane McClanahan 15-Day-IL Soreness
- Cole Sulser 15-Day-IL Spasms
- Edwin Uceta 60-Day-IL Strain
- Jake Fraley 60-Day-IL Surgery
📈 Recent Form
BAL 4-1 last 5 · W1
WLWWW
TB 2-3 last 5 · W2
WWLLL
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: TB 53% to win, best value on BAL ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays?
Brandon Young (3.33 ERA) starts for BAL; Shane McClanahan (3.09 ERA) starts for TB.
What is the prediction for Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays?
Our model favors TB at 53% to win, with a projected 8.1 total runs.