CobiaBaltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays — Prediction & Pitchers
Sat, Aug 15, 6:10 PM ET · Steinbrenner Field
Baltimore Orioles
59-63
VS6:10 PM ET
Tampa Bay Rays
74-47
TB 57% on the money line; model leans OVER 7.5.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
BAL
Kyle Bradish
3.69 ERA · struggling · 2.5 R/5 allowed
TB
Ian Seymour
4.08 ERA · sharp · 1.3 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
BAL to win38%mkt 43%
TB to win62%mkt 57%
Total (model)8.1 Rline 7.5
Biggest edge: TB ML — model 62% vs market 57% (+500pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Christian Encarnacion-Strand BAL — 15.9% to go yard (4 HR)
- Pete Alonso BAL — 15.4% to go yard (26 HR)
- Junior Caminero TB — 14.3% to go yard (35 HR)
- Coby Mayo BAL — 13.9% to go yard (15 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Steinbrenner Field · park factor 98 (#22) · Patchy rain nearby, 78°F, wind 6 mph — Rain risk — could delay; wet ball
🔥 Hot Bats
BAL Pete Alonso .260 AVG · 26 HR · .832 OPS
TB Junior Caminero .306 AVG · 35 HR · .916 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
BAL
- Blaze Alexander 10-Day-IL Fracture
- Samuel Basallo 10-Day-IL Inflammation
- Ryan Helsley 60-Day-IL Inflammation
- Felix Bautista 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Colin Selby 60-Day-IL Surgery
TB
- Cole Sulser 15-Day-IL Spasms
- Edwin Uceta 60-Day-IL Strain
- Jake Fraley 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Griffin Jax 15-Day-IL Soreness
- Shane McClanahan 15-Day-IL Not Specified
📈 Recent Form
BAL 3-2 last 5 · W1
WLWLW
TB 4-1 last 5 · W4
WWWWL
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: TB 62% to win, best value on TB ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays?
Kyle Bradish (3.69 ERA) starts for BAL; Ian Seymour (4.08 ERA) starts for TB.
What is the prediction for Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays?
Our model favors TB at 62% to win, with a projected 8.1 total runs.