CobiaBaltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays — Prediction & Pitchers
Fri, Aug 14, 7:10 PM ET · Steinbrenner Field
Baltimore Orioles
58-63
VS7:10 PM ET
Tampa Bay Rays
74-46
TB 62% on the money line.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
BAL
TBD
ERA —
TB
Steven Matz
5.46 ERA · sharp · 1.6 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
BAL to win44%mkt 39%
TB to win56%mkt 62%
Total (model)8.5 R
Biggest edge: BAL ML — model 44% vs market 39% (+560pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Pete Alonso BAL — 17.5% to go yard (26 HR)
- Christian Encarnacion-Strand BAL — 17.5% to go yard (4 HR)
- Junior Caminero TB — 17.4% to go yard (35 HR)
- Coby Mayo BAL — 16.6% to go yard (15 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Steinbrenner Field · park factor 98 (#22) · Clear , 80°F, wind 7 mph — Fair — no weather edge
🔥 Hot Bats
BAL Pete Alonso .259 AVG · 26 HR · .833 OPS
TB Junior Caminero .307 AVG · 35 HR · .923 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
BAL
- Chris Bassitt 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Ryan Helsley 60-Day-IL Inflammation
- Blaze Alexander 10-Day-IL Fracture
- Felix Bautista 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Samuel Basallo 10-Day-IL Inflammation
TB
- Shane McClanahan 15-Day-IL Not Specified
- Griffin Jax 15-Day-IL Soreness
- Gavin Lux 60-Day-IL Inflammation
- Ben Williamson 10-Day-IL Strain
- Jake Fraley 60-Day-IL Surgery
📈 Recent Form
BAL 2-3 last 5 · L1
LWLWL
TB 5-0 last 5 · W5
WWWWW
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: TB 56% to win, best value on BAL ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays?
TBD (— ERA) starts for BAL; Steven Matz (5.46 ERA) starts for TB.
What is the prediction for Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays?
Our model favors TB at 56% to win, with a projected 8.5 total runs.