CobiaBaltimore Orioles vs New York Mets — Prediction & Pitchers
Wed, Sep 16, 7:10 PM ET · Citi Field
Baltimore Orioles
74-78
VS7:10 PM ET
New York Mets
69-82
NYM 56% on the money line.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
BAL
Chris Bassitt
4.88 ERA · struggling · 2.6 R/5 allowed
NYM
Robert Stock
5.93 ERA · sharp · 1.8 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
BAL to win49%mkt 45%
NYM to win51%mkt 56%
Total (model)8.7 Rline 8.5
Biggest edge: BAL ML — model 49% vs market 45% (+430pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Pete Alonso BAL — 17.4% to go yard (36 HR)
- Coby Mayo BAL — 17.4% to go yard (24 HR)
- Christian Encarnacion-Strand BAL — 17.4% to go yard (9 HR)
- Colton Cowser BAL — 13.3% to go yard (13 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Citi Field · park factor 97 (#26)
🔥 Hot Bats
BAL Pete Alonso .267 AVG · 36 HR · .861 OPS
NYM Carson Benge .272 AVG · 25 HR · .752 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
BAL
- Shane Baz Day-To-Day Elbow
- Samuel Basallo Day-To-Day Soreness
- Christian Franklin 10-Day-IL Inflammation
- Kyle Bradish 15-Day-IL Soreness
- Ryan Helsley 60-Day-IL Inflammation
NYM
- Devin Williams 15-Day-IL Strain
- Cionel Perez 15-Day-IL Strain
- Jorge Polanco 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Reed Garrett 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Tylor Megill 60-Day-IL Surgery
📈 Recent Form
BAL 3-2 last 5 · W1
WLLWW
NYM 1-4 last 5 · L1
LWLLL
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: NYM 51% to win, best value on BAL ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Baltimore Orioles vs New York Mets?
Chris Bassitt (4.88 ERA) starts for BAL; Robert Stock (5.93 ERA) starts for NYM.
What is the prediction for Baltimore Orioles vs New York Mets?
Our model favors NYM at 51% to win, with a projected 8.7 total runs.