CobiaBaltimore Orioles vs New York Mets — Prediction & Pitchers
Mon, Sep 14, 7:10 PM ET · Citi Field · In Progress
Baltimore Orioles
72-78
1
VS
New York Mets
69-80
1
NYM 57% on the money line; model leans OVER 5.5.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
BAL
Brandon Young
3.65 ERA · struggling · 2.8 R/5 allowed
NYM
Jonah Tong
3.43 ERA · struggling · 2.5 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
BAL to win50%mkt 43%
NYM to win50%mkt 57%
Total (model)8.4 Rline 5.5
Biggest edge: BAL ML — model 50% vs market 43% (+790pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Juan Soto NYM — 15.1% to go yard (25 HR)
- Francisco Alvarez NYM — 14.5% to go yard (15 HR)
- Pete Alonso BAL — 13.2% to go yard (35 HR)
- Coby Mayo BAL — 13.1% to go yard (23 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Citi Field · park factor 97 (#26) · Sunny, 73°F, wind 11 mph — Fair — no weather edge
🔥 Hot Bats
BAL Pete Alonso .268 AVG · 35 HR · .860 OPS
NYM Carson Benge .272 AVG · 25 HR · .745 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
BAL
- Kyle Bradish 15-Day-IL Soreness
- Ryan Helsley 60-Day-IL Inflammation
- Blaze Alexander 10-Day-IL Soreness
- Ryan Mountcastle 60-Day-IL Strain
- Christian Franklin 10-Day-IL Inflammation
NYM
- Devin Williams 15-Day-IL Strain
- Cionel Perez 15-Day-IL Strain
- Jorge Polanco 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Reed Garrett 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Tylor Megill 60-Day-IL Surgery
📈 Recent Form
BAL 2-3 last 5 · L1
LWWLL
NYM 3-2 last 5 · W2
WWLWL
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: BAL 50% to win, best value on BAL ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Baltimore Orioles vs New York Mets?
Brandon Young (3.65 ERA) starts for BAL; Jonah Tong (3.43 ERA) starts for NYM.
What is the prediction for Baltimore Orioles vs New York Mets?
Our model favors BAL at 50% to win, with a projected 8.4 total runs.