CobiaBaltimore Orioles vs Minnesota Twins — Prediction & Pitchers
Wed, Aug 12, 1:40 PM ET · Target Field
Baltimore Orioles
58-62
VS1:40 PM ET
Minnesota Twins
59-62
MIN 52% on the money line.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
BAL
Shane Baz
3.76 ERA · sharp · 1.4 R/5 allowed
MIN
Zebby Matthews
5.23 ERA · steady · 2.3 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
BAL to win61%mkt 49%
MIN to win39%mkt 52%
Total (model)8.7 Rline 8.5
Biggest edge: BAL ML — model 61% vs market 49% (+1270pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Christian Encarnacion-Strand BAL — 26.6% to go yard (4 HR)
- Pete Alonso BAL — 25.5% to go yard (26 HR)
- Coby Mayo BAL — 22.8% to go yard (15 HR)
- Tyler O'Neill BAL — 19.8% to go yard (10 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Target Field · park factor 100 (#14) · Partly cloudy, 79°F, wind 4 mph — Fair — no weather edge
🔥 Hot Bats
BAL Pete Alonso .256 AVG · 26 HR · .829 OPS
MIN Kody Clemens .265 AVG · 25 HR · .748 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
BAL
- Yohel Pozo Day-To-Day Finger
- Chris Bassitt 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Ryan Helsley 60-Day-IL Inflammation
- Blaze Alexander 10-Day-IL Fracture
- Felix Bautista 60-Day-IL Surgery
MIN
- Joe Ryan 15-Day-IL Strain
- Byron Buxton 10-Day-IL Pinched Nerve
- Zebby Matthews Day-To-Day Abrasion
- Mike Paredes 60-Day-IL Strain
- Cole Sands 60-Day-IL Surgery
📈 Recent Form
BAL 2-3 last 5 · L2
LLWLW
MIN 2-3 last 5 · W1
WLLWL
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: BAL 61% to win, best value on BAL ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Baltimore Orioles vs Minnesota Twins?
Shane Baz (3.76 ERA) starts for BAL; Zebby Matthews (5.23 ERA) starts for MIN.
What is the prediction for Baltimore Orioles vs Minnesota Twins?
Our model favors BAL at 61% to win, with a projected 8.7 total runs.