CobiaBaltimore Orioles vs Minnesota Twins — Prediction & Pitchers
Tue, Aug 11, 7:40 PM ET · Target Field
Baltimore Orioles
57-62
VS7:40 PM ET
Minnesota Twins
59-61
MIN 52% on the money line.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
BAL
Brandon Young
3.43 ERA · steady · 2.3 R/5 allowed
MIN
Bailey Ober
4.45 ERA · struggling · 2.5 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
BAL to win54%mkt 49%
MIN to win46%mkt 52%
Total (model)9.2 Rline 9.5
Biggest edge: BAL ML — model 54% vs market 49% (+560pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Pete Alonso BAL — 27.9% to go yard (25 HR)
- Coby Mayo BAL — 25.3% to go yard (15 HR)
- Tyler O'Neill BAL — 22.1% to go yard (10 HR)
- Colton Cowser BAL — 20.8% to go yard (9 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Target Field · park factor 100 (#14) · Clear , 75°F, wind 3 mph — Fair — no weather edge
🔥 Hot Bats
BAL Pete Alonso .252 AVG · 25 HR · .816 OPS
MIN Kody Clemens .263 AVG · 25 HR · .752 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
BAL
- Ryan Helsley 60-Day-IL Inflammation
- Blaze Alexander 10-Day-IL Fracture
- Felix Bautista 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Samuel Basallo 10-Day-IL Inflammation
- Chris Bassitt 60-Day-IL Surgery
MIN
- Zebby Matthews Day-To-Day Abrasion
- Joe Ryan 15-Day-IL Strain
- Byron Buxton 10-Day-IL Pinched Nerve
- Mike Paredes 60-Day-IL Strain
- Cole Sands 60-Day-IL Surgery
📈 Recent Form
BAL 1-4 last 5 · L3
LLLWL
MIN 3-2 last 5 · W2
WWLLW
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: BAL 54% to win, best value on BAL ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Baltimore Orioles vs Minnesota Twins?
Brandon Young (3.43 ERA) starts for BAL; Bailey Ober (4.45 ERA) starts for MIN.
What is the prediction for Baltimore Orioles vs Minnesota Twins?
Our model favors BAL at 54% to win, with a projected 9.2 total runs.