CobiaBaltimore Orioles vs Minnesota Twins — Prediction & Pitchers
Mon, Aug 10, 7:40 PM ET · Target Field
Baltimore Orioles
57-61
VS7:40 PM ET
Minnesota Twins
58-61
BAL 52% on the money line; model leans OVER 8.5.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
BAL
Trevor Rogers
4.20 ERA · steady · 2.1 R/5 allowed
MIN
Dean Kremer
5.93 ERA · struggling · 3.8 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
BAL to win62%mkt 52%
MIN to win38%mkt 49%
Total (model)9.9 Rline 8.5
Biggest edge: BAL ML — model 62% vs market 52% (+1020pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Christian Encarnacion-Strand BAL — 31.1% to go yard (3 HR)
- Pete Alonso BAL — 30.1% to go yard (25 HR)
- Coby Mayo BAL — 28.4% to go yard (15 HR)
- Tyler O'Neill BAL — 23.8% to go yard (10 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Target Field · park factor 100 (#14) · Clear , 76°F, wind 2 mph — Fair — no weather edge
🔥 Hot Bats
BAL Pete Alonso .252 AVG · 25 HR · .818 OPS
MIN Kody Clemens .262 AVG · 25 HR · .752 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
BAL
- Ryan Helsley 60-Day-IL Inflammation
- Blaze Alexander 10-Day-IL Fracture
- Felix Bautista 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Samuel Basallo 10-Day-IL Inflammation
- Chris Bassitt 60-Day-IL Surgery
MIN
- Zebby Matthews Day-To-Day Abrasion
- Joe Ryan 15-Day-IL Strain
- Byron Buxton 10-Day-IL Pinched Nerve
- Mike Paredes 60-Day-IL Strain
- Cole Sands 60-Day-IL Surgery
📈 Recent Form
BAL 2-3 last 5 · W1
WLLLW
MIN 2-3 last 5 · L1
LWWLL
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: BAL 62% to win, best value on BAL ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Baltimore Orioles vs Minnesota Twins?
Trevor Rogers (4.20 ERA) starts for BAL; Dean Kremer (5.93 ERA) starts for MIN.
What is the prediction for Baltimore Orioles vs Minnesota Twins?
Our model favors BAL at 62% to win, with a projected 9.9 total runs.