CobiaArizona Diamondbacks vs Boston Red Sox — Prediction & Pitchers
Tue, Aug 18, 7:10 PM ET · Fenway Park
Arizona Diamondbacks
66-60
VS7:10 PM ET
Boston Red Sox
67-58
BOS 0% on the money line.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
AZ
Merrill Kelly
5.11 ERA · struggling · 3.1 R/5 allowed
BOS
Ranger Suarez
3.25 ERA · struggling · 2.4 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
AZ to win37%mkt 0%
BOS to win63%mkt 0%
Total (model)9.3 R
💣 Home Run Watch
- Willson Contreras BOS — 17.5% to go yard (25 HR)
- Wilyer Abreu BOS — 17.3% to go yard (22 HR)
- Jarren Duran BOS — 13.8% to go yard (16 HR)
- Jahmai Jones BOS — 13.4% to go yard (4 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Fenway Park · park factor 107 (#3) · Fog, 66°F, wind 5 mph — Fair — no weather edge
🔥 Hot Bats
AZ Gabriel Moreno .307 AVG · 21 HR · .847 OPS
BOS Willson Contreras .288 AVG · 25 HR · .924 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
AZ
- Ketel Marte Out Not Specified
- Nolan Arenado Day-To-Day Soreness
- Blake Walston 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Ryan Thompson 15-Day-IL Strain
- Zac Gallen 60-Day-IL Inflammation
BOS
- Jahmai Jones Day-To-Day Not Specified
- Trevor Story 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Justin Slaten 15-Day-IL Inflammation
- Masataka Yoshida 10-Day-IL Strain
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa 60-Day-IL Inflammation
📈 Recent Form
AZ 2-3 last 5 · L1
LWWLL
BOS 3-2 last 5 · W1
WLWLW
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: BOS 63% to win. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Arizona Diamondbacks vs Boston Red Sox?
Merrill Kelly (5.11 ERA) starts for AZ; Ranger Suarez (3.25 ERA) starts for BOS.
What is the prediction for Arizona Diamondbacks vs Boston Red Sox?
Our model favors BOS at 63% to win, with a projected 9.3 total runs.