CobiaAtlanta Braves vs New York Yankees — Prediction & Pitchers
Fri, Aug 7, 7:05 PM ET · Yankee Stadium · In Progress
Atlanta Braves
70-45
2
VS
New York Yankees
64-51
2
ATL 87% on the money line; model leans OVER 3.5; sharps on Atlanta Braves.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
ATL
Tyler Mahle
4.83 ERA · sharp · 1.6 R/5 allowed
NYY
Max Fried
2.88 ERA · sharp · 1.7 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
ATL to win46%mkt 87%
NYY to win54%mkt 14%
Total (model)7.6 Rline 3.5
Biggest edge: NYY ML — model 54% vs market 14% (+4070pts).
🕵️ Smart-money lean: Atlanta Braves — 10 sharps, 10 elite, 56% one-sided (conv 64)
💣 Home Run Watch
- Ben Rice NYY — 23.5% to go yard (31 HR)
- Luis García Jr. NYY — 20.5% to go yard (24 HR)
- Amed Rosario NYY — 18.3% to go yard (10 HR)
- Heliot Ramos NYY — 17% to go yard (9 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Yankee Stadium · park factor 99 (#17) · Clear , 79°F, wind 11 mph — Fair — no weather edge
🔥 Hot Bats
ATL Matt Olson .292 AVG · 33 HR · .899 OPS
NYY Ben Rice .260 AVG · 31 HR · .900 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
ATL
- Robert Suarez 15-Day-IL Soreness
- Reynaldo Lopez 15-Day-IL Inflammation
- Spencer Strider 60-Day-IL Inflammation
- Spencer Schwellenbach 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Joe Jimenez 60-Day-IL Surgery
NYY
- Clarke Schmidt 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Aaron Judge 60-Day-IL Fracture
- Carlos Rodon 15-Day-IL Inflammation
- Cody Bellinger 10-Day-IL Strain
- Giancarlo Stanton 10-Day-IL Strain
📈 Recent Form
ATL 5-0 last 5 · W5
WWWWW
NYY 2-3 last 5 · L1
LWLWL
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: NYY 54% to win, best value on NYY ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Atlanta Braves vs New York Yankees?
Tyler Mahle (4.83 ERA) starts for ATL; Max Fried (2.88 ERA) starts for NYY.
What is the prediction for Atlanta Braves vs New York Yankees?
Our model favors NYY at 54% to win, with a projected 7.6 total runs.