CobiaAtlanta Braves vs Chicago Cubs — Prediction & Pitchers
Tue, Sep 15, 7:40 PM ET · Wrigley Field
Atlanta Braves
88-63
VS7:40 PM ET
Chicago Cubs
84-67
CHC 56% on the money line.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
ATL
Martín Pérez
3.08 ERA · sharp · 1.7 R/5 allowed
CHC
Kevin Gausman
4.60 ERA · struggling · 3.1 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
ATL to win59%mkt 44%
CHC to win41%mkt 56%
Total (model)8.9 Rline 8.5
Biggest edge: ATL ML — model 59% vs market 44% (+1590pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Matt Olson ATL — 17.6% to go yard (39 HR)
- Drake Baldwin ATL — 16.1% to go yard (23 HR)
- Ronald Acuña Jr. ATL — 15.7% to go yard (17 HR)
- Michael Harris II ATL — 15.1% to go yard (25 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Wrigley Field · park factor 100 (#12) · Patchy rain nearby, 67°F, wind 15 mph — Rain risk — could delay; wet ball
🔥 Hot Bats
ATL Matt Olson .292 AVG · 39 HR · .828 OPS
CHC Pete Crow-Armstrong .281 AVG · 42 HR · .945 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
ATL
- Reynaldo Lopez Out Not Specified
- Robert Suarez 60-Day-IL Soreness
- Joe Jimenez 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Lane Thomas 10-Day-IL Strain
- Bryce Elder 15-Day-IL Surgery
CHC
- Trent Thornton 15-Day-IL Soreness
- Dansby Swanson 10-Day-IL Strain
- Gavin Hollowell 15-Day-IL Inflammation
- Ben Brown 60-Day-IL Fracture
- Justin Steele 60-Day-IL Surgery
📈 Recent Form
ATL 3-2 last 5 · W3
WWWLL
CHC 3-2 last 5 · L1
LWWLW
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: ATL 59% to win, best value on ATL ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Atlanta Braves vs Chicago Cubs?
Martín Pérez (3.08 ERA) starts for ATL; Kevin Gausman (4.60 ERA) starts for CHC.
What is the prediction for Atlanta Braves vs Chicago Cubs?
Our model favors ATL at 59% to win, with a projected 8.9 total runs.