CobiaCobia Picks: The Full Feature Tour
Cobia is a smart-money analytics platform built on top of Polymarket. Because Polymarket settles on-chain, every position is public — so instead of trusting a capper's screenshots, Cobia grades real wallets on their real history, scores the edge on each market, and posts the pick before the line moves. Then it grades every single one in public. Nothing deleted.
This is a guided tour of the whole product, screen by screen — from the live board members open first, to the non-sports markets desk, to the tools that let you grade any bet slip or build your own parlay. Wherever a feature is free, it's tagged.
What's inside
1. Tonight's Board Free
The board is the front door. It's an ESPN-style live scoreboard of the night's games across MLB, the World Cup, NHL, NBA and more — overlaid with our open smart-money picks, each one linking straight to its Polymarket market. Live scores stream in; the day's strongest plays sit right on top, ranked by calibrated win rate.
2. The Edge Board Free
Below the board sits the Edge feed — the live output of the scoring engine. Cobia scans elite and watchlisted wallets every few minutes, scores each signal by wallet quality, position alignment and how one-sided the flow is, and ranks the results by our trained model's Cobia Score (a calibrated win probability, AUC 0.84). Every card shows the FOLLOW/FADE call, the smart-money behind it, the entry price and the expected value.
3. Non-Sports Markets Free
Polymarket is far more than sports, and so is Cobia. The Non-Sports desk is a dedicated board for everything that isn't a game — politics, geopolitics, crypto, finance, tech and culture — run through the exact same edge engine and ranked by calibrated win rate. Category tabs let you jump straight to Politics, Crypto or Finance, and each card carries the same FOLLOW/FADE call, Cobia Score, entry price and value rating as the sports board.
The public record already bears it out: over the tracked sample, Politics is hitting 69%, Finance 82% and Tech 100% — non-sports is a first-class desk, not an afterthought.
4. Sharp Report
The Sharp Report is the deep read on a signal: the redacted breakdown of which wallet cohorts are behind an edge, how concentrated the money is, whether hedgers or market makers are muddying the book, and how the conviction score was built. It's the "show your work" view for members who want the reasoning, not just the call.
5. Game Analysis
Click into any game for a full breakdown: starting pitchers and bullpen state, Vegas lines versus the Polymarket price, the smart-money lean, weather and park factors, and where the market is mispriced. It's the single-game war room.
6. MLB Feed & Home-Run Tools Free
A slate-wide live feed for baseball: every game, the F5 (first-five-innings) model lines, and a home-run projection board powered by a Poisson model over batter form, park and weather. Build your own HR parlay from the player pool and track it on the leaderboard.
7. F5 Breakdown Free
First-five-innings betting is a starter-pitcher game, so it gets its own model. The F5 Breakdown posts the day's top first-five plays with the reasoning — starter form, bullpen split and park — as a public, self-grading forward test.
8. Golf
PGA and LIV coverage with a three-venue line-shop (Polymarket, Vegas and Kalshi side by side), real Strokes-Gained data, course history and conditions — so you can find the outright and matchup edges the field is sleeping on.
9. Model Grader Free
Paste a bet slip — or drop a screenshot of one — and Cobia's model grades every leg against its fair value: which legs are a lock, which are okay, which are traps, and what the slip's real expected value is. It's the fastest way to sanity-check a parlay before you fire it.
10. DFS & Parlay Builder
A DraftKings/FanDuel lineup optimizer built on AI-adjusted projections and an exact ILP solver, plus a combo builder that assembles your own parlay from live smart-money legs and shows the true probability and best-venue price on each one.
11. Fantasy
A fantasy-football section with a VORP cheat sheet that works for any scoring format, mock-draft support and league configuration — pulled from ESPN and Sleeper data.
12. Results & Track Record Free
This is the part most services hide. Every pick Cobia posts is graded against the real Polymarket resolution and shown by category and price band — win rate, sample size, average entry. No deleted losers, no fake units. The homepage carries an all-time record and per-category breakdowns you can click into.
The throughline
Every tool above points at the same thing: find where predictive wallets are positioned before the crowd catches up, price the edge honestly, and prove it in public. The screenshots change; the discipline — verified track records over vibes — doesn't. Learn the metric that ties it together in our guide to closing line value.
Key takeaways
- Cobia turns Polymarket's on-chain positions into graded, front-run smart-money picks.
- Tonight's Board, the Edge feed, Non-Sports markets and the Model Grader are all free to use.
- Non-sports — politics, crypto, finance, tech — is a first-class desk, not an afterthought.
- Deeper tools (Sharp Report, Game Analysis, DFS, Golf, Fantasy) layer in the reasoning and the build-your-own edge.
- Everything is graded in public against the real resolution — no deleted losers.
See the whole platform live.
Free graded picks, the non-sports desk, and the model grader — no card required to start.
Start free at cobiapicks.com